Tacuary vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
35.1%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.1%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
NAC
3 - 1
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
TAC
1 - 0
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
OLI
0 - 0
TAC
47%
26%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
CCP
1 - 1
TAC
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2005 |
TAC
0 - 1
12O
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 2
ATP
30%
24%
46%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
1 - 2
CCP
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2005 |
LIB
2 - 2
GUA
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2005 |
12O
2 - 1
LIB
26%
26%
47%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |