Tacuary vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
32.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
8º
12º
8º
31
2º
9º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 36 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 35 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
26 | 26 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
23 | 23 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 23 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
21 | 21 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
OLI
2 - 1
TAC
53%
24%
23%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
JLM
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2024 |
TAC
1 - 1
AME
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
0 - 1
TAC
48%
26%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CCP
0 - 1
TAC
53%
24%
22%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
AME
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
LIB
2 - 1
GUA
47%
26%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
2DE
0 - 1
GUA
38%
27%
35%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
SPT
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2024 |
LQE
1 - 0
GUA
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |