Tacuary vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
42.8%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
3º
12º
6º
32
3º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 40 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 32 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
32 | 32 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
31 | 31 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
29 | 29 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 19 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2023 |
NAC
1 - 1
TAC
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
FER
1 - 2
TAC
52%
23%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
OLI
1 - 2
TAC
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
BRA
7 - 1
TAC
77%
16%
8%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 2
CCP
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
LIB
47%
25%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
LQE
1 - 2
GUA
40%
27%
33%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 0
HUR
52%
25%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
JLM
0 - 0
GUA
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
EME
1 - 1
GUA
51%
24%
24%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |