Tacuary vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.9%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
12º
12º
33
2º
10º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2023 |
AME
2 - 1
TAC
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 0
LIB
20%
25%
55%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
OPE
42%
25%
33%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
JLM
1 - 0
TAC
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 1
OLI
20%
23%
57%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
GUA
2 - 2
NAC
49%
25%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
LQE
3 - 0
GUA
34%
28%
38%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 1
EME
49%
24%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
1 - 0
RES
61%
22%
17%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
GUA
0 - 3
CCP
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | -1 |