Tacuary vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
33%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
2DE
0 - 1
TAC
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
TAC
2 - 1
SPT
33%
28%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
ATY
1 - 2
TAC
61%
23%
16%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
TAC
0 - 0
DEP
27%
27%
46%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
TAC
1 - 2
AME
32%
29%
39%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2021 |
FER
1 - 3
AME
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
FER
53%
25%
22%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
FYE
58%
23%
20%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
JLM
2 - 0
FER
51%
26%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
FER
0 - 1
SPO
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |