Tacuary vs Fernando de la Mora analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.1%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.5%
16.4%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 1
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
TAC
2 - 0
DEP
53%
26%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
SDP
1 - 0
TAC
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
TAC
0 - 0
SAN
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
TAC
3 - 1
RPA
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fernando de la Mora
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
FER
1 - 0
GEN
42%
27%
32%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
MAR
2 - 0
FER
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
RES
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
SPO
0 - 1
FER
56%
26%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
FER
0 - 2
SPC
37%
27%
36%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |