Tacuary vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.7%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
19.1%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
40.8%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
10º
12º
12º
41
2º
6º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
51 | 51 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
41 | 41 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 30 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 27 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
17 | 17 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
17 | 17 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CONMEBOL Libertadores
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jun. 2023 |
OPE
1 - 3
TAC
48%
25%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 0
TAC
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
LQE
32%
28%
40%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
TAC
0 - 4
EST
23%
27%
50%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
RES
1 - 0
TAC
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2023 |
BOL
2 - 0
CCP
42%
25%
33%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
CCP
2 - 0
LIB
40%
26%
34%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
NAC
2 - 1
CCP
43%
28%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2023 |
CCP
0 - 3
PAL
17%
24%
59%
|
80 | 90 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
CCP
1 - 2
JLM
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |