Tacuary vs Cerro Porteño analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.1%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
39.9%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2008 |
GUA
3 - 1
TAC
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
TAC
2 - 1
SAN
51%
26%
23%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
PET
1 - 2
TAC
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2008 |
TAC
0 - 1
AME
46%
27%
27%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2008 |
LIB
2 - 0
TAC
62%
21%
16%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Cerro Porteño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
LIB
44%
27%
29%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
LQE
0 - 0
CCP
39%
26%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2008 |
CCP
0 - 0
12O
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2008 |
CCP
1 - 5
GUA
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2008 |
CCP
4 - 3
12O
62%
23%
15%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |