Tacuary vs 3 de Febrero analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
21.4%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacuary
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
4 - 1
OLI
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
CCP
1 - 0
TAC
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
TAC
0 - 3
RÑU
45%
29%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
AME
2 - 1
TAC
50%
25%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
TAC
1 - 0
2DE
46%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
3 de Febrero
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CCP
29%
26%
45%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2009 |
RÑU
0 - 2
SAN
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2009 |
SAN
1 - 1
AME
39%
26%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
2DE
0 - 2
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
SAN
2 - 1
GUA
33%
26%
41%
|
60 | 72 | 12 | +1 |