Tacoma Defiance vs Sacramento Republic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
49.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.1%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
TAC
2 - 1
POR
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
POR
3 - 1
TAC
35%
23%
42%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
TAC
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
REN
3 - 2
TAC
82%
12%
7%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
72%
16%
12%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sacramento Republic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
REN
1 - 1
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
TAC
72%
17%
11%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
3 - 3
REN
39%
26%
35%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2020 |
SAC
2 - 1
ORA
39%
26%
35%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
POR
1 - 2
SAC
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 34 | 16 | 0 |