Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.3%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
MIN
2 - 4
TAC
36%
27%
37%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
TAC
39%
26%
35%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
TAC
1 - 3
COR
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
TAC
3 - 1
SPK
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
TAC
20%
23%
58%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
POR
2 - 0
COR
29%
23%
48%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STL
4 - 1
POR
67%
19%
14%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
SPK
6 - 1
POR
66%
19%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
POR
6 - 1
LAG
50%
22%
28%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
POR
1 - 1
TAC
20%
23%
58%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |