Tacoma Defiance vs Portland Timbers II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
87.9%
Win probability
2.93
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
6.5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.8%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.8%
3-0
15.1%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
20%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18%
9.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.2%
2.9%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
TAC
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
19%
24%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
SPK
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 1
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 2
TAC
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Portland Timbers II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 2
VAN
25%
22%
53%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
POR
2 - 4
MIN
10%
17%
73%
|
29 | 54 | 25 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
MON
4 - 2
POR
76%
15%
10%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
POR
3 - 5
STL
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 62 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
SPK
2 - 0
POR
80%
14%
7%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | 0 |