Tacoma Defiance vs Houston Dynamo II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tacoma Defiance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
TAC
0 - 2
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
VAN
0 - 1
TAC
25%
24%
51%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
TAC
19%
24%
58%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
TAC
1 - 0
SPK
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
2 - 1
TAC
37%
26%
37%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Houston Dynamo II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2022 |
HOU
2 - 0
NOT
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2022 |
COR
1 - 0
HOU
21%
23%
56%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 0
STL
34%
27%
39%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
MIN
0 - 1
HOU
38%
26%
37%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2022 |
HOU
1 - 1
COR
66%
21%
14%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |