Tabasco vs Tigrillos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.3%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.2%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
17.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
DUR
2 - 2
TAB
24%
24%
52%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
TAB
3 - 2
DOR
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
ACA
0 - 3
TAB
36%
25%
39%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
TAB
2 - 0
LEO
45%
25%
30%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2004 |
ORI
2 - 2
TAB
39%
25%
36%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Tigrillos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 0
TRO
62%
21%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2004 |
TIG
1 - 0
DUR
68%
19%
13%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
DOR
2 - 0
TIG
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
TIG
2 - 2
ACA
60%
22%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2004 |
LEO
3 - 3
TIG
66%
19%
15%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | +1 |