Tabacal Orán vs Atlético Progreso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Tabacal Orán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2015 |
SPO
2 - 0
TAB
80%
15%
6%
|
29 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2015 |
TAB
2 - 0
CEN
36%
25%
39%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | +2 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
TAL
2 - 3
TAB
57%
22%
21%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2015 |
TAB
0 - 0
MIT
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LAS
0 - 0
TAB
36%
25%
40%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Atlético Progreso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
VIL
5 - 1
PRO
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 0
AGU
53%
22%
25%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
LAS
1 - 0
PRO
54%
23%
23%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
PRO
2 - 3
AMA
38%
24%
39%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
FAM
0 - 1
PRO
64%
20%
17%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |