t Zand vs RKVV Erp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.7%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
52.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
6º
44
3º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
TZA
67%
18%
15%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
TZA
2 - 1
DOS
46%
23%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
VOA
4 - 2
TZA
5%
11%
85%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | -2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
TZA
0 - 1
RKS
41%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
2 - 7
TZA
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
RKVV Erp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2022 |
ERP
0 - 1
SCK
84%
11%
6%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2022 |
EAV
1 - 2
ERP
69%
17%
14%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
RKV
2 - 3
ERP
72%
15%
13%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
ERP
1 - 2
FCB
41%
21%
38%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DOS
1 - 0
ERP
28%
21%
52%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | -1 |