t Zand vs Sarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22%
37%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
6º
30
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 96.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
2 - 7
TZA
43%
22%
35%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
TZA
0 - 1
NEM
23%
22%
55%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SVM
2 - 3
TZA
23%
20%
56%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 3
TAC
38%
23%
39%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
TZA
1 - 2
RKS
54%
21%
25%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
2 - 1
SCK
82%
11%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
EAV
1 - 1
RKS
74%
15%
11%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 1
ERP
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 1
RKS
61%
19%
20%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
RKS
1 - 3
ZWE
66%
18%
17%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -1 |