t Zand vs Geldrop analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
34%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-39%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
5º
12º
6º
31
4º
12º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
RKV
1 - 2
TZA
64%
19%
17%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
SCK
2 - 0
TZA
56%
20%
24%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
TZA
3 - 1
EAV
40%
22%
38%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
TZA
55%
20%
25%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
TZA
1 - 1
FCB
27%
22%
51%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Geldrop
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
GEL
2 - 3
SCK
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
EAV
2 - 2
GEL
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
2 - 1
ERP
45%
21%
34%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FCB
3 - 0
GEL
57%
21%
23%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
GEL
1 - 0
DOS
78%
14%
9%
|
27 | 20 | 7 | +1 |