't Fean '58 vs Winsum analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.9%
1-0
4%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12.9%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
58.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.4%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
3.8%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+727%
+68%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
14º
12º
43
2º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 2
TFE
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
VVG
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TFE
4 - 1
FVC
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 5
HOO
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Winsum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
WIN
0 - 1
ORA
16%
19%
66%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BRO
4 - 3
WIN
71%
17%
12%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
PKC
5 - 3
WIN
61%
19%
20%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 3
BLA
19%
20%
61%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ONS
1 - 1
WIN
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |