't Fean '58 vs Gorecht analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
9.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
69.1%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21%
0-2
8%
1-3
8%
2-4
3%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
19.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
14.1%
0-4
4.6%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.4%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+727%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
14º
12º
24
5º
14º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 29.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 1
TFE
91%
7%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 4
WIN
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 2
TFE
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
VVG
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
TFE
4 - 1
FVC
8%
13%
79%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Gorecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
GOR
3 - 1
BRO
17%
18%
65%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
ORA
1 - 3
GOR
84%
10%
6%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | +2 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
BLA
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
PKC
3 - 1
GOR
77%
13%
11%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
ONS
4 - 0
GOR
89%
7%
4%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |