't Fean '58 vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.7%
12.7%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
12.7%
79.1%
Win probability
2.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.2%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
20.7%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
6.1%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.1%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
3.6%
2-6
0.8%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.3%
0-5
4%
1-6
1.8%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.2%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.8%
2-8
0.1%
3-9
0%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+727%
-49%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
14º
12º
13
3º
14º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
LEE
5 - 0
TFE
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 5
HOO
5%
11%
84%
|
9 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 2
BRO
5%
11%
84%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 1
TFE
93%
6%
2%
|
10 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
TFE
0 - 4
PKC
6%
11%
83%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 4
BRO
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
ORA
3 - 0
FVC
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
FVC
3 - 2
PKC
26%
21%
54%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
BLA
2 - 1
FVC
80%
13%
8%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FVC
2 - 3
ONS
10%
14%
76%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | -1 |