't Fean '58 vs Blauw Wit .34 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.5%
1-0
1.9%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5%
12.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.1%
81%
Win probability
2.92
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.8%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
17.7%
0-4
7.6%
1-5
3.4%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.7%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
6.4%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.7%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.9%
0-7
0.9%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0%
-7
1.2%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+727%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
12º
14º
12º
47
1º
5º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
66.5% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
84.5% | |
|
2º
|
48 | 51 |
3º
|
49% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
15% | |
|
|
5º
|
47 | 50 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 32 |
8º
|
94% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 29 |
9º
|
55.5% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 27 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
|
12º
|
24 | 27 |
12º
|
77.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 14 |
13º
|
53% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
1% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
't Fean '58
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
TFE
0 - 1
GOR
14%
17%
69%
|
14 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PEL
1 - 1
TFE
91%
7%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 4
WIN
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
DRA
1 - 2
TFE
78%
14%
8%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
TFE
2 - 0
VVG
11%
15%
74%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Blauw Wit .34
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
ORA
4 - 1
BLA
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
5 - 1
PKC
69%
17%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
HOO
0 - 1
BLA
39%
21%
40%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
GOR
2 - 2
BLA
10%
14%
76%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2023 |
BLA
1 - 2
ONS
41%
22%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -2 |