Sydvest vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.4%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.1%
80.5%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.4%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.5%
0-4
7.8%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.7%
0-5
4.1%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.4%
0-6
1.8%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.3%
0-7
0.7%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydvest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
ODD
1 - 1
SYD
33%
24%
43%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
SYD
4 - 1
KJE
24%
22%
54%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2018 |
KOL
1 - 1
SYD
73%
16%
11%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VEJ
1 - 1
SYD
34%
24%
42%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
SYD
0 - 1
BRA
18%
22%
60%
|
45 | 60 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AGF
1 - 1
VEN
56%
24%
21%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2018 |
HOB
0 - 2
AGF
30%
26%
45%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
AGF
1 - 1
FCK
37%
28%
35%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RAN
0 - 0
AGF
28%
27%
45%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2018 |
AGF
1 - 0
SON
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |