Sydney FC vs Macarthur FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
21.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sydney FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
7 - 1
PER
65%
20%
14%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
SYD
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
SYD
2 - 1
WES
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
SYD
23%
25%
52%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PER
1 - 1
SYD
26%
25%
49%
|
73 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Macarthur FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
WPH
3 - 0
MFC
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 0
SYD
36%
26%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
ADE
1 - 2
MFC
49%
24%
27%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
WUF
4 - 2
MFC
33%
26%
41%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2024 |
MFC
1 - 3
WES
45%
24%
31%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |