SWZ vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
17.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 2
SWZ
55%
22%
23%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
SWZ
1 - 1
MSC
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SWZ
6 - 0
GER
70%
17%
13%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BEQ
0 - 5
SWZ
57%
21%
21%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +2 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SWZ
3 - 0
ALC
35%
24%
41%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARH
0 - 1
SCN
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
SCN
2 - 0
GER
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BEQ
2 - 0
SCN
59%
21%
21%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
SCN
3 - 1
ALC
39%
23%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
ROH
4 - 1
SCN
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |