SWZ vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
15.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LON
2 - 3
SWZ
33%
23%
44%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SWZ
0 - 3
RKH
58%
20%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
SWZ
2 - 1
FVC
66%
18%
16%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
ALC
2 - 1
SWZ
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
SWZ
2 - 2
USV
53%
23%
24%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
SCN
2 - 1
ALV
39%
23%
39%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
ROH
4 - 0
SCN
53%
24%
24%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
USV
4 - 0
SCN
69%
18%
13%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
DEB
2 - 0
SCN
55%
22%
23%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
SCN
0 - 4
HOO
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |