SWZ vs SC NEC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
23.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 3
SWZ
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SWZ
4 - 1
HOO
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
JUL
1 - 4
SWZ
35%
24%
41%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +2 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 4
SWZ
30%
24%
46%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
SWZ
2 - 2
RIG
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
SC NEC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
SCN
5 - 0
RIG
55%
22%
24%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
SCN
5 - 1
LON
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
BEQ
1 - 1
SCN
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
SCN
1 - 3
MSC
60%
20%
20%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
RKH
2 - 2
SCN
43%
23%
34%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |