SWZ vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NIE
0 - 3
SWZ
35%
25%
41%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
SWZ
2 - 1
BAB
46%
25%
29%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
LIE
1 - 1
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
SWZ
0 - 3
DET
14%
21%
65%
|
34 | 55 | 21 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
JOU
1 - 1
SWZ
40%
25%
36%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
QUI
4 - 1
JUL
48%
24%
28%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
QUI
1 - 1
NIE
72%
17%
12%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
BAB
3 - 3
QUI
24%
24%
52%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
QUI
0 - 0
LIE
47%
24%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
DET
3 - 1
QUI
67%
19%
14%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |