SWZ vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.1%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
DEB
0 - 1
SWZ
49%
23%
27%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
SWZ
2 - 3
ALC
47%
24%
29%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
JOU
0 - 1
SWZ
26%
23%
52%
|
34 | 23 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
SWZ
0 - 2
HSC
30%
25%
45%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
DEB
2 - 2
SWZ
50%
23%
27%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
4 - 2
WSV
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
LIE
4 - 4
QUI
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ACH
2 - 0
QUI
70%
18%
12%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 0
DEB
45%
24%
31%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
QUI
2 - 2
HSC
33%
26%
41%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |