SWZ vs Quick '20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.2%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.2%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
32.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
BAB
1 - 0
SWZ
57%
21%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2008 |
SWZ
0 - 1
DEB
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2008 |
HSC
4 - 0
SWZ
62%
20%
18%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
WKE
3 - 0
SWZ
77%
15%
8%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
SWZ
0 - 2
ACH
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
Quick '20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
DET
0 - 0
QUI
82%
12%
6%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2007 |
HSC
3 - 1
QUI
60%
20%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2007 |
QUI
0 - 2
BAB
48%
24%
28%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 Nov. 2007 |
QUI
2 - 3
DEB
51%
24%
26%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
WKE
5 - 0
QUI
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 52 | 15 | 0 |