SWZ vs MSC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.8%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
24.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
RKH
0 - 1
SWZ
27%
24%
50%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SWZ
1 - 1
UDI
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SWZ
2 - 0
SCN
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 3
SWZ
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
SWZ
4 - 1
HOO
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
MSC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2012 |
MSC
4 - 2
RIG
62%
20%
18%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MSC
1 - 1
BAB
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
RKH
1 - 3
MSC
41%
24%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
UDI
0 - 2
MSC
49%
23%
27%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
MSC
2 - 0
ROH
29%
25%
46%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +3 |