SWZ vs Gemert analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
46.8%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JVC
5 - 0
SWZ
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
SWZ
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SWZ
0 - 2
HBS
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
DET
3 - 0
SWZ
75%
16%
9%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SWZ
0 - 1
EVV
36%
26%
38%
|
42 | 49 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Gemert
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
GEM
4 - 2
HSC
32%
25%
43%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
GEM
1 - 0
LIE
23%
23%
55%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
HAA
4 - 2
GEM
72%
16%
12%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
GEM
2 - 3
ADO
27%
25%
49%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2012 |
GEM
0 - 3
VIT
9%
17%
74%
|
47 | 76 | 29 | -1 |