SWZ vs FVC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.6%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.8%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.4%
12%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12%
6.3%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
RKH
0 - 4
SWZ
35%
23%
42%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SWZ
2 - 2
JUL
57%
21%
22%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
ARH
0 - 4
SWZ
31%
24%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
SWZ
5 - 0
ROH
47%
24%
30%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
ACH
3 - 2
SWZ
22%
22%
56%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
FVC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
FVC
3 - 2
ACH
35%
24%
41%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
QUI
5 - 0
FVC
80%
13%
7%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
FVC
1 - 3
GER
41%
23%
36%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
BEQ
5 - 0
FVC
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
FVC
3 - 2
DEB
46%
23%
32%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |