SWZ vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
41%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
DEB
3 - 1
SWZ
30%
23%
47%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FVC
3 - 0
SWZ
26%
23%
52%
|
40 | 29 | 11 | -3 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SWZ
4 - 0
ALC
44%
23%
33%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +2 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
USV
1 - 2
SWZ
68%
18%
14%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ALV
1 - 3
SWZ
41%
23%
36%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
ALC
6 - 0
GER
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
ALC
2 - 0
USV
33%
25%
43%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
SWZ
4 - 0
ALC
44%
23%
33%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
ALC
3 - 0
ALV
65%
18%
17%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ROH
3 - 3
ALC
42%
25%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |