SWZ vs Alcides analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
38.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
HSC
4 - 1
SWZ
72%
17%
11%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
SWZ
6 - 1
HOO
34%
24%
42%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
WKE
3 - 1
SWZ
75%
16%
9%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
BAB
1 - 4
SWZ
61%
21%
18%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
SWZ
4 - 2
RKH
35%
24%
40%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Alcides
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
ALC
5 - 1
RHE
80%
14%
7%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SCN
2 - 0
ALC
43%
25%
32%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
2 - 1
ROH
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
ALC
4 - 0
FVC
57%
21%
22%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
HSC
0 - 1
ALC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | +1 |