SWZ vs ADO 20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
61.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWZ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
HOL
2 - 0
SWZ
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
SWZ
3 - 0
GEM
28%
25%
47%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
JVC
5 - 0
SWZ
68%
18%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
AFC
2 - 0
SWZ
79%
13%
8%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
SWZ
0 - 2
HBS
24%
23%
53%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -2 |
Matches
ADO 20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
HAA
1 - 4
ADO
47%
23%
31%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2012 |
ADO
6 - 1
EIN
23%
23%
54%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | +3 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
ADO
4 - 3
LIE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ADO
3 - 4
WKE
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
ACH
4 - 2
ADO
71%
18%
11%
|
54 | 66 | 12 | -1 |