SWQ Thunder vs Peninsula Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
5%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
0.9%
1-0
1.8%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.9%
11.1%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.1%
83.9%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
12.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.6%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
3.1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
12.5%
0-5
5.2%
1-6
1.5%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6.8%
0-6
2.5%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.1%
-6
3.2%
0-7
1%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1.3%
0-8
0.4%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.4%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
SWQ
1 - 2
GCK
5%
11%
84%
|
13 | 46 | 33 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2019 |
BRR
7 - 2
SWQ
81%
13%
7%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
SUN
2 - 3
SWQ
17%
18%
64%
|
13 | 7 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
RED
4 - 2
SWQ
61%
18%
21%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
WES
3 - 2
SWQ
77%
13%
10%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Peninsula Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 0
WES
86%
10%
4%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
MAG
1 - 7
PEN
5%
10%
84%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2019 |
GCK
4 - 0
PEN
54%
23%
24%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jun. 2019 |
PEN
3 - 2
BRR
86%
10%
4%
|
41 | 19 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2019 |
PEN
2 - 4
EAS
79%
14%
8%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | -1 |