SWQ Thunder vs Gold Coast City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.7%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
5.9%
14%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14%
78%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10.4%
1-4
5.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.7%
0-4
6.9%
1-5
2.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0%
-4
10.2%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
5.1%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.2%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
NOF
6 - 0
SWQ
85%
10%
5%
|
10 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
FNQ
5 - 0
SWQ
89%
8%
3%
|
10 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
OLY
5 - 2
SWQ
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 44 | 34 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
SWQ
2 - 2
BRR
12%
18%
70%
|
10 | 25 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WES
5 - 2
SWQ
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Gold Coast City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SUN
3 - 1
PAL
36%
22%
42%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 0
RED
49%
21%
30%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
WES
2 - 1
PAL
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
2 - 1
NOF
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
PAL
1 - 1
OLY
29%
21%
50%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | +2 |