SWQ Thunder vs Gold Coast Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.7%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.7%
2-1
2%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
79.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.7%
0-3
11.9%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17%
0-4
7.4%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.9%
0-5
3.7%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.7%
0-6
1.6%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2018 |
SWQ
6 - 0
USQ
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 11 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
SWQ
2 - 4
PAL
18%
20%
62%
|
21 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SWQ
0 - 0
SUN
88%
9%
3%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
SWQ
1 - 1
MOR
16%
20%
64%
|
20 | 33 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
QUE
4 - 1
SWQ
82%
12%
6%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Gold Coast Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
GCK
3 - 2
GOL
8%
14%
79%
|
49 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
GCK
1 - 0
BUS
84%
11%
6%
|
49 | 12 | 37 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
GCK
1 - 0
SPA
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 21 | 28 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
PBS
2 - 3
GCK
8%
14%
78%
|
48 | 10 | 38 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2017 |
PBS
2 - 3
GCK
8%
14%
78%
|
48 | 11 | 37 | 0 |