SWQ Thunder vs Brisbane Roar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.6%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
69.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.2%
0-5
2.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.1%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2015 |
WES
5 - 2
SWQ
87%
9%
4%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
SUN
1 - 0
SWQ
88%
9%
4%
|
9 | 35 | 26 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 0
RED
6%
11%
83%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | +2 |
| 19 Aug. 2014 |
RED
4 - 3
SWQ
94%
5%
2%
|
7 | 32 | 25 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 7
MOR
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
BRR
2 - 6
WES
79%
13%
8%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2014 |
BRR
1 - 0
PAL
16%
19%
66%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
BRI
2 - 0
BRR
84%
11%
6%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 1
BRR
10%
17%
74%
|
23 | 7 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BRR
3 - 2
BRI
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |