SWQ Thunder vs Brisbane Roar II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.2%
16.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.7%
73.5%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
12.9%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.7%
0-3
10%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15%
0-4
5.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.1%
0-5
2.7%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
SWQ
3 - 4
HAR
10%
19%
72%
|
7 | 54 | 47 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
SWQ
1 - 4
WES
13%
18%
69%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
BRI
3 - 0
SWQ
92%
6%
2%
|
7 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
SWQ
0 - 7
PAL
8%
14%
78%
|
7 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2014 |
FNQ
5 - 1
SWQ
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Brisbane Roar II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2014 |
BRR
3 - 2
BRI
22%
20%
58%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
NOF
2 - 1
BRR
28%
23%
49%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2014 |
BRR
1 - 3
OLY
12%
15%
73%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -2 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
BRR
0 - 5
SUN
25%
20%
55%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2014 |
RED
3 - 0
BRR
81%
11%
8%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | -1 |