Swit Nowy Dwor vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.9%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17%
9.4%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
JAG
0 - 1
SWI
15%
22%
64%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
SWI
1 - 3
KSB
81%
13%
6%
|
46 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
POL
1 - 2
SWI
42%
26%
32%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
SWI
2 - 4
USK
67%
19%
13%
|
46 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
WIS
0 - 0
SWI
10%
17%
73%
|
46 | 21 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
UWA
2 - 3
JAG
65%
19%
16%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2021 |
KSB
2 - 2
UWA
49%
22%
29%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
UWA
0 - 2
POL
32%
24%
44%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
USK
1 - 2
UWA
60%
21%
19%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
UWA
1 - 1
WIS
73%
16%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |