Swit Nowy Dwor vs Start Otwock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
SWI
1 - 1
ZNI
42%
28%
31%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
STA
1 - 2
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
SWI
2 - 0
JEZ
53%
26%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
SWI
1 - 0
PEL
51%
26%
23%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
PUS
0 - 0
SWI
24%
24%
51%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Start Otwock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
RES
1 - 0
SOT
62%
22%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SOT
0 - 3
STA
35%
27%
38%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
STO
1 - 0
SOT
55%
24%
21%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
SOT
0 - 3
OLI
36%
26%
39%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
PLO
5 - 0
SOT
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | -1 |