Swindon Town vs Aldershot Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.7%
15.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
MKD
3 - 2
SWI
44%
25%
31%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SWI
0 - 1
GIL
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
SAL
2 - 2
SWI
38%
26%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
SWI
2 - 0
NEW
46%
25%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2023 |
REA
5 - 0
SWI
55%
22%
24%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Aldershot Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
DOR
2 - 1
ALD
40%
25%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
ALD
4 - 2
MAI
63%
21%
16%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
ALD
2 - 1
HAR
43%
24%
33%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
ALD
4 - 1
LEW
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 1
ALD
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |