Swindon Supermarine vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
1.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.1%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.6%
4-0
11.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
20.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
7.5%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.5%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.5%
2.4%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
1.1%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SWI
2 - 0
BUR
91%
7%
2%
|
36 | 10 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
WIM
1 - 2
SWI
13%
19%
69%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 2
MAN
80%
13%
7%
|
36 | 23 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
WIN
3 - 1
SWI
50%
23%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 2
EVE
52%
23%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2016 |
TAU
11 - 0
BAS
86%
11%
4%
|
9 | 44 | 35 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
0 - 0
SLI
10%
16%
74%
|
7 | 19 | 12 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DID
7 - 0
BAS
91%
7%
2%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
EVE
7 - 0
BAS
87%
10%
3%
|
7 | 41 | 34 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 2
YAT
7%
15%
78%
|
7 | 27 | 20 | 0 |