Swindon Supermarine vs AFC Totton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.3%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.4%
3-0
10.2%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
DID
1 - 5
SWI
37%
23%
40%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2016 |
SWI
1 - 5
FOR
13%
22%
65%
|
35 | 57 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2016 |
TAU
2 - 1
SWI
57%
22%
21%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
SWI
0 - 0
DID
63%
19%
18%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AFT
1 - 5
SWI
30%
23%
48%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Totton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
AFT
1 - 2
HER
17%
19%
64%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2016 |
HAV
4 - 0
AFT
73%
17%
10%
|
23 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
AFT
52%
22%
26%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
AFT
1 - 2
WIM
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
AFT
1 - 5
SWI
30%
23%
48%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | -1 |