FA Cup Previa 2
Global 3-0
Swindon Supermarine vs AFC Dunstable analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.2%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
25.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swindon Supermarine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 1
HEN
19%
21%
60%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
SAL
2 - 2
SWI
73%
15%
11%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AFD
0 - 0
SWI
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MET
0 - 2
SWI
64%
20%
16%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2018 |
MER
2 - 2
SWI
49%
22%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Dunstable
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2018 |
COR
2 - 1
AFD
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2018 |
AFD
2 - 3
DUN
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
AFD
0 - 0
SWI
40%
22%
38%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2018 |
AYL
0 - 2
AFD
12%
18%
71%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
AFD
1 - 4
BRO
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |