Swift vs Smitshoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
32.7%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
TER
6 - 2
SWI
74%
15%
11%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SWI
0 - 2
HOE
24%
23%
53%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
FCS
2 - 5
SWI
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SMI
1 - 1
SWI
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SWI
3 - 1
RIJ
57%
22%
22%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2018 |
NOO
3 - 1
SMI
24%
23%
53%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
SMI
3 - 2
AFC
67%
17%
16%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
SMI
5 - 4
FCS
29%
22%
49%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 May. 2018 |
RIJ
4 - 2
SMI
63%
19%
17%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SMI
1 - 1
SWI
48%
22%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |