Swift vs Smitshoek analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 3
SWI
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 1
ZWA
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
SPI
1 - 3
SWI
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | +2 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 1
DFS
44%
23%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
RVV
1 - 1
SWI
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Smitshoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ZWA
3 - 0
SMI
49%
23%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SMI
0 - 3
DFS
61%
19%
20%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
AJA
3 - 0
SMI
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
SMI
3 - 1
ARG
42%
23%
35%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SMI
1 - 2
SLI
63%
19%
18%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | -1 |