Swift vs Roda'46 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-32%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LEL
1 - 1
SWI
22%
22%
56%
|
31 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SWI
2 - 0
VVA
52%
23%
26%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 2
CSW
69%
18%
13%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
MAR
5 - 3
SWI
29%
23%
48%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
SWI
3 - 0
SVL
68%
18%
14%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Roda'46
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
VVA
0 - 1
ROD
55%
22%
22%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 4
CSW
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
ROD
0 - 2
VVZ
30%
23%
47%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
DEM
2 - 5
ROD
53%
22%
25%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ROD
2 - 0
HBO
47%
23%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | +1 |